| 1826 to 1830 |
456 |
3.5% |
456 |
3.5% td>
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\ndd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
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dd
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dd
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dd
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dd
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dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
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dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
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dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
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dd
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dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
dd
208
POPULATION, AND
The comparative ratio of baptisms offers another confirmation of the above thesis :
| Agricultural counties. |
Manufacturing counties. |
| Hartford |
in 36 |
Lancashire |
in 34 |
| Huntingdon |
- in 35 |
Staffordshire |
in 31 |
| East |
- in 35 |
Nottingham |
in 31 |
These results clearly indicate, that the theory of those who trace the human cause of our rapid numerical advancement to the operation of the poor laws is erroneous: it is more properly the power of steam than the power of the poor laws which adds to our population.
The fruitfulness of marriage considered in connexion with the expanding term of human life.—The fecundity of marriage must depend on a variety of circumstances, of which the most important are climate, and the duration of human life. The inhabitants of countries situated within the tropics, arrive at the age of puberty much earlier than the inhabitants of countries situated in climates more cold regions of the north; twelve to thirteen years being the nubile age of the Brazilians, while with us, it can scarcely be less than twenty-three or four years. The age of man is, upon the authority of Holy Writ, three-score years and ten ; but this rather resembles a fixed limit, and is not supposed to predict the average term of human life, at least we find no modern examples where such a term has been realised.
In England, where the annual mortality during the last thirty years has not exceeded one in 50, and where the term of human life, commencing at the nubile age (23), is about 45.5 years, the average fecundity of marriage is, according to Mr. Sadler, 3.66, or for the United Kingdom, 4.95; And there is no reason to doubt, that the ratio of the fecundity of marriage, and the increase of population, will be co-equally augmented with the expansion of the ric mogwane, commencing
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
209
at the connubial age. To what extent this may be carried in our favoured country, it is impossible to portend. Modern improvements have done much to counteract the ravages of the effect of epidemic disorders and loathsome diseases, especially among the poor ; the improvement in the quality of food ; the more general sufficiency of comfortable clothing, and suitable habitation ; the better appointment and more numerous establishment of charitable institutions, and the great expansion of medical science and practice, all tend to prolong the average duration of human life. Indeed, during late years, useful and liberal science are so powerfully disseminating their influence in improving the condition of the human race, that population rapidly grows with its growth, and we appear to be on the point that ultimately deaths shall be unknown, and when "the child shall die a hundred years old," (Isaiah, chap. lxv. ver. 20). We may suppose, from the extraordinary ages of the Patriarchs in the antediluvian ages, that that universal, and never failing con- quers, Adam was 130 years old before the birth of his third son " Seth," and attained the age of 930 years. Seth was 105 years old ere the birth of his son Enos, and reached the extended term of 905 years ; and Methuselah, the oldest of the patriarchs, was 187 years old ere the birth of his son Lamech, who lived at least 969 years. In the early periods of the post-diluvian ages, the natural death of a person under the age of puberty, was considered as something extraordinary; and
* The accuracy of these terms has been very reasonably doubted by various ingenious writers, and the researches of A.M. Arndt on this subject have been confirmed by those of Dr. Hahn. The Hebrew traditions of the ages of the patriarchs are not exempt from various interpretations, some of which make the age of Adam 130 instead of 930 years, and reduce those of other patriarchs in different degrees.
P
210
POPULATION, AND
" in the dawning years of the Grecian republics, the decease of a person under the nubile age, was considered as an event at once so dreadful, and so much out of the course of nature, that it was thought improper to perform the funeral rites in open day, and the body was disposed of in the silence and obscurity of the night. A fact which seems to indicate, that disease had, even then, scarcely begun to rear its hydra head.
Effect of the improvement in medical science.—
There is no doubt but that a sufficient supply of the necessaries of life is the most effectual antidote to disease. The progress of medicine contains its fair commendation; and from an article which appeared in the Westminster Review, April, 1832, we are enabled to elucidate the practical effect of its improvement. " Sir William Petty, who died about the era of the revolution of 1689, states, that the proportion of deaths to cures in St. Bartholomew's church was 1 in 7 ; in 1741 the ratio had diminished to 1 in 10; in 1780 to 1 in 14; in 1813, to 1 in 16; and in 1827, to 1 in 48. From the years 1799 to 1808, the mortality by consumption amounted to about 27 per cent. of those who became ill. From 1808 to 1813, it diminished to about 25 per cent.; from 1813 to 1822 it still further decreased to 22 per cent. The entire half of our population was, at one time, destroyed by one disease, " small-pox; " the morality by which, at the present time, is but fractional. Typhus fever was once accustomed to visit this country with such frequency that one out of every three it attacked; whereas, at the present day, it seldom appears as an epidemic, and its average mortality does not amount to 1 in 16."
In other diseases, such as measles, scarlet fever, hooping cough, &c., there have been similar diminutions in the ratio of mortality, and they are no
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
211
longer regarded with the terror in which they were once viewed. Furthermore, the number attacked by these diseases is very considerably diminished. Such effect has been produced, not only the fruitfulness of marriage, but, in a compound ratio, the increase of our numbers.
**Comparative ratio of mortality in various States of Europe.**—In other states of Europe, the gratifying results have herebefore detailed as applying to Britain, are equally observable in this country, and we shall shew, by a comparison of the ratio of mortality in England and Wales, with that of other countries of Europe, and the states of America, that the attributes of the former, whether physical or acquired by art, are highly favourable to the preservation of life.
The following results are given in a letter from Sir Francis Ivernois to Mr. Rickman, dated the 23d March, 1827, and subsequently printed for the use of parliament.
| Table of the comparative ratio of mortality. |
| Countries. |
Annual proportion of deaths to the total population. |
| England and Wales |
1 in 59 |
| Sweden and the Danish States |
1 in 48 |
| Kingdom of the Netherlands |
1 in 43 |
| France |
1 in 40 |
| United States of America |
1 in 37 |
| Pruisia |
1 in 36 |
| Wurtemberg |
1 in 33 |
Such were the general results of Sir Francis Ivernois' calculations, the report of which is accompanied with comments, of which the following is a copy:
En Suède et dans les états Danois, où la mortalité a été toujours moindre qu'ailleurs, elle paraît être 1 sur 48.
F2
112
**POPULATION, AND**
Dans le Royaume des Pays-bas, où L'Archiviste vient de publier une série de six années, finissant au 31 Décembre, 1825, les rapports sont les suivants. Naissances, 1 sur 27 ; mariages, 1 sur 132 ; mortalité, 1 sur 43.8. Le maximum de cette mortalité est en Zeland, 1 sur 31.4 ; et le minimum dans les Nauirois, 1 sur 57.9.
En France, la mortalité diminue depuis quarante ans, de 10.6 à 9.4 sur 100. *—Dans les états unis d'Amérique, en 1825, la mortalité fut 1 sur 37.
En Prusse, où l'on a fait une série de registres depuis onze années, la mortalité est encore dans le rapport précédent : naissances, 1 sur 27 ; mariages, il y a quarante ans, 1 sur 36. Le gouvernement de Wurtemberg, publia les tableaux, pour l'année 1825, d'où il résulte que la moyenne y a été 1 sur 33.
The foregoing remarks warrant the conclusion, that the increase of British population, and the prolongation of the length of human life, are consequent on the rapid and progressive improvement of the condition of the community; hence we are led to notice the causes which have concurred to extend the national and individual income; and thus to ameliorate the condition of the people. Here the attention of the inquirer is forcibly directed to the vast and growing expansion of our productive power; by the rapid advancement of mechanical science.
*Increase of productive power.—Nature, bountiful and wise in all things, has furnished us with the*
*On the 30th January, 1825, M. Fourier read a note from M. Bension de Chateauneuf, on the decrease of the ratio of mortality among children under five years old. Of a total of 100 children born, 20 died the first two years; now the proportion is 38.5 in the former time 55 in a hundred before attaining the age of ten; formerly it was only 28.7. Only 21 in ten reached the age of nine; now the proportion is 24; formerly only 15 in 100 reached the age of sixty; now the proportion is 24; formerly the deaths were to three in ten, now the annual mortality is 1 to 39.*
POWER OF MAINTENANCE. 213
elements of wealth, and endowed the human mind with an infinite variety of peculiar talents, that her unsparing gifts may be rendered available to the supply of our varied wants. But labour is the price which the soil demands for her productions, and it is by labour alone that they can be matured and rendered subservient to human enjoyments.
It is hence evident, that in proportion as the force of labour is made more productive, the necessaries to its assistance rendered more abundant. Were we provided with documents illustrative of the proportion of the British population engaged in the various branches of productive industry two or three centuries since, they would, in all probabity, show a proportion of from 50 to 60 per cent. employed in the cultivation of the soil, producing scarcely an excess of food over the consumption of the community. Indeed, so deficient were the productions of the soil in the reigns of the Plantagenets, that the exportation of grain was prohibited under severe penalties, until the 15th of Henry VIII., when it was allowed to exceed 4,000,000. How limited at this era, ere machinery appeared as an helpmate to labour, must have been the means of acquiring the many other necessaries of life, such as clothing, fuel, and habitation, equally essential with food; and how limited must have been also the productions of foreign climes, so needful to the comfort of the people. A community such as the British, at that era, principally occupied in the productions of the prime necessaries of life, and whose labour yielded but a small surplus over the actual consumption of the labourers on their possessions but little time for attaining those social pleasures, which a knowledge of the fine arts inspires, or of providing for that portion of every well organised society, who devote themselves to the study and diffusion of science, or to the per-
214
POPULATION, AND
formance of those nobler sorts of services, which afford protection and assistance, improve the mental and moral faculties, add to the amusement, and heighten the pleasures of civilised life.
It is by the development of individual ingenuity, slow in its first movement, but, as it were, by the power of attraction, accelerating its pace in its progress towards various centres, that united capa-
bilities have been developed; and perceiving this situation, unfold the means of augmenting the fruit of labour, and hence of attaining to higher enjoyments.
**Enlarged use of machinery.**—It is evident, that any invention which tends to augment the quantity of the productions of a given sum of labour, must increase the income derived from it. For, in fact, the sum of useful commodities be doubled, by the aid of machinery, without any increase in the number of labourers; it is clear, that the income of each labourer must receive a like aug-
mentation ; and this augmentation of income clearly provides a stimulus to increased consumption, which marks the intimate connexion between the growth of income and the increase of numbers.
In tracing the increase of the productive power of Great Britain, we shall limit our inquiry to the year 1780, a period when productive industry was stimulated by the scarcity of food. At that time, the inhabitants of Great Britain and Ireland scarcely numbered more than 13,800,000; and according to Dupin's tables, the productive force was equal to the manual labour of 31,281,000 effective labourers. From the year 1780 to 1826,
the addition to our labourers was about 8,700,000 souls; the population in that period rose to about 22,500,000, and the increase of productive power, during the same period, equal to the labour of 28,925,000 men; carrying the total productive power of Great Britain and Ireland, in 1826, to
POWER OF MAINTENANCE. 215
the equivalent labour of 60,203,000 workmen.
The medium, or annual average increase of popu-
lation, from 1780 to 1826, was 189,100 souls,
while the average annual increase of productive
power was equivalent to 629,010 ; so vast has
been the increase of inanimate mechanical power.
In the year 1780, the proportion of productive
power to the population was 2.20 to each indi-
vidual ; in 1826, it was 3.40. It is evident, there-
fore, that the power of the United Kingdom to maintain
her inhabitants in 1826, was superior to that of
1780 by .50 to each individual, or the produce of
one effective labourer to every two inhabitants.
So much for the theory of the diminishing ratio
of the power of maintenance, with the increase of
British population.
If the foregoing comparison was continued to
the year 1833, we feel convinced that it would
demonstrate a far greater ratio in the increase of
our productive force ; the application of steam
power to weaving, navigation, the transit of mer-
chandise on rivers and canals, had during the last seven years, received so rapid an extension.
But, although the expansion of the national
power of production is generally admitted, there
are many, who, though deeply read in the science
of national wealth, yet, while abstractly viewing
the practical progress of the rapid introduction of
machinery doubt that the power created is actually
employed, and that such portion of it as may be
in active operation, meets its recompense at the
hands of consumers. There were no official docu-
ments to guide us in establishing the negative of
this opinion, the natural conclusion, that mecha-
nical improvements will continue in an increasing ratio of supply without a corresponding demand, would be sufficient; for it is
a self-evident maxim, that where there is no in-
creasing demand, there can be no increasing supply.
216
**POPULATION, AND**
But, leaving this theoretical view of the question, let us look for proofs of a more substantial character. We shall first refer to the expansion of the cotton manufacture.
The annual average quan-
tity of cotton wool spun
from the year 1760 to 1787 was about
3,000,000 lbs.
The year 1786
was about
19,000,000
1865
— 49,920,000
1813
— 61,555,000
1820
— 137,407,000
1835
— 162,889,000
1845
— 273,499,000
The entire value of this branch of manufacture, in 1769, did not exceed 300,000L ; in 1824, Mr. Huskisson, in the House of Commons, stated its annual produce to be 33,500,000L ; Mr. Kennedy, in 1827, valued it at 36,000,000L ; and at the present day, it cannot be less than 40,000,000L. In 1818, the number of power-looms in Manches-
ter, South Wales and the vicinity of Liverpool, in 1827, it was 45,000 ; and at present, the number is upwards of 70,000. More than 85,000 weavers, spinners, bleachers &c., are employed in this manufacture ; 111,000 engineers, masons,
joiners, machine makers and others at least an equal number are employed in the preparation of the coal, iron, and other elementary commodities used in the manufacture, and in transporting and distributing its produce. If we contrast the quantity of cotton wool spun in 1832, with that in 1812,
which may be taken as a fair average for the years 1810 to 1834, it increases by one per cent., while the growth of population does not increase by the decimal. The quantity of sheep's wool shorn,
spun, or otherwise consumed in England, in the middle of the seventeenth century, was under
20,000,000lbs.; at present it is estimated at
100,008,066. * The quantity of foreign wool spun in 1829 was 3,774,697; and in 1832, 27,698,699 ;
* M'Culloch's Dictionary.
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
217
being an increase of about 380 per cent., while the increase of population is only 18 per cent. The woollen manufacture, to foster which, in the days of the Plantagenets, so many curious and cruel Acts were passed, gives employment at the present day to above half-a-million of men, women, and children, and produces annually, property valuing 22,000,000/. The quantity of coal raised in the year 1760, was about 2,500,000 tons;—in 1833, about 18,000,000 tons.*
*The quantity of coal actually raised, has been estimated as high as 28,000,000 tons; but Mr. Taylor computes it at only 13,580,000 tons, an estimate which is usually considered much too low; and it is probable that the actual quantity exceeds this important article since the repeal of the duty, it may be moderately estimated at 18,000,000 tons. The inquiry as to the quantity of coal raised in South Wales is connected with a future deficiency of that most important mineral, has engaged the attention of several scientific geologists. Mr. Taylor has given it as his opinion that the coal beds in Durham and Newcastle alone will furnish the present ratio of supply for 1700 years. Dr. Buckland thinks this estimate greatly exaggerated; but in his opinion "the coal beds in South Wales are sufficient to supply the wants of England for upwards of two thousand years." He approves of a passage in Boulwark's Geology, which states that the coal beds in South Wales are sufficient to meet the present demand for upwards of two thousand years.
Fortunately we have in South Wales, adjoining the Bristol Channel, an almost inexhaustible supply of coal, and iron stone, which are found in such abundance that they are estimated by some writers to extend over 1900 square miles; and that there are twenty-three beds of workable coal, the total average thickness of which is fifteen feet. The quantity contained in each acre is 100,000 tons or 61,600,000 tons; and if we suppose (a very large supposition) that these beds contain a prodigious total of 76,800,000,000 tons; if from this we deduct one half for waste and for the surface extent of the uplands, we shall admit that there is a coal field of 38,400,000 tons per square mile. Now if we admit 5,000,000 tons from the Northumberland and Durham mines, to be nearly equal to one third the total quantity of coal contained in all the beds of the Welsh coal field would yield coal for two years consumption; and as there are 1692 to 1298 square miles in this coal field, it would supply England for upwards of three hundred years before any new coal mines are worked out." The Newcastle formation is very extensive, and contains 5,375,689,699 cubic yards of coal—extending in length about twenty-three miles. The beds in
218
**POPULATION, AND**
The increase of population since 1780, is about 90 per cent.; while the production of coal has augmented 730 per cent. The quantity of British iron smelted in the year 1780 did not exceed 70,000 tons; in 1831 there were about 300 coke furnaces in work, which, upon the average, produced about fifty tons per week, or the enormous quantity of 760,000 tons per annum. This is the joint produce of the Russian and Swedish mines, on which a century since we were chiefly dependent; and twice the quantity produced in the known world.*
Previous to 1789 England was dependent on foreign countries for the supply of copper; in 1829 the quantity produced in Cornwall exceeded 10,000 tons of pure metal; and if to this we add the produce of the Welsh mines, the total quantity annually raised is not less than 13,000 tons, equal in value to about 1,450,000l.
In 1791, the import of flax into Scotland from France amounted to 25,000 tons; and in Leicester, besides those in Scotland, are also of immense extent. It is computed that 2,900,000 tons of coal are annually consumed in London and the neighbourhood of it; and that each person of about 14 tons, or $7\frac{1}{2}$ tons to each family of five persons. Riddle of Walsall (one of the best informed coal engineers), says " that the greater part of the number of persons employed in the navigation and London trade engaged in the coal trade is 45,500, exclusive of those employed in out-pasts, and in discharging ships." Another writer says " the grand total of the number employed in all branches of commerce may be set down at 180,000l., and the total capital employed in it is moderately calculated at 16,500,000l."
*The quantities produced in 1827 in the different districts were,
|
|
|
|
| Staffordshire |
216,000 |
produced by 95 furnaces |
|
| Shropshire |
79,000 |
— |
81 — |
| South Wales |
66,500 |
— |
96 — |
| North Wales |
24,000 |
— |
12 — |
| Yorkshire |
43,500 |
— |
24 — |
| Derbyshire |
43,500 |
— |
14 — |
| Scotland |
36,500 |
— |
18 — |
|
696,300 |
|
291 |
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![]() A table showing quantities produced在不同地区的数量,英格兰和威尔士在...
POWER OF MAINTENANCE. 219
amounted to about 2,440 tons ; and of hemp, 299 tons ; and the quantity of linen exported was 7,842,000 yards. In 1831, there were 15,010 tons of flax, and 3082 tons of hemp imported ; and the quantity of linen, sail-cloth, &c. exported, was 57,000,000 yards.*
It would be no difficult task to multiply practical abstract illustrations of the cause of the increase of produce, power, and wealth, useful application to shew, in fact an income augmenting in a superior ratio to the increase of numbers ; but in order to give a general idea of the expansion of commercial and manufacturing industry, we shall shew, in a tabular form, the progressive increase in the quantity of British and Irish produce and manufactures exported.
EXPORTS.
| Years, and annual average of years. |
British and Irish Produc |
Irish Produce and Manufactures Exported from Great Britain and Ireland. |
Total. |
| and Manufactures |
exported from Great Britain and Ireland. |
value |
value |
L. |
| 1786-92 |
14,765,000 |
|
L. |
L. |
L. |
| 1795-98 |
17,100,000 |
|
556,000 |
|
17,656,000 |
| 1798-1801 |
22,647,000 |
|
484,300 |
|
23,131,300 |
| 1802-8 |
22,669,000 |
|
477,200 |
|
23,136,200 |
| 1809-15 |
383,854 |
|
789,556 |
|
1,173,410 |
| 1815-19 |
383,176,000 |
|
943,440 |
|
3,916,640 |
| 1820-24 |
393,544,000 |
|
629,230 |
|
4,562,770 |
| 1825-31 |
393,544,000 |
|
765,664 |
|
4,701,164 |
| 1832 |
46,453,092 |
|
697,668 |
|
47,450,760 |
| 1837 |
49,835,854 |
|
632,882 |
|
50,468,736 |
| 1838-42 |
59,999,556 |
|
949,592 |
|
61,949,148 |
| 1843-59 |
52,919,728 |
|
768,319 |
|
53,788,047 |
| Total (from 1832) | | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.042 L. | L. 56213.
220
**POPULATION, AND**
The apparent stationary amount of the exports from Ireland, direct to foreign parts, is by no means an evidence that her trade has not participated in the general extension. Since the Union, the export trade of Ireland has been chiefly carried on through Great Britain. Without entering on the subject of the general improvement of Ireland, we shall here only mention that according to Sir Charles Whitting's table, totalling Irish exports to Great Britain during the seven years ending 1799, was 2,307,722l.; while the value of her exports into the single port of Liverpool in one year, 1833, was no less than 7,456,092l.***
From this it appears that there has been an increase in the quantity of British manufactures exported in 1830-31, in comparison with the year 1792,—a period of boasted commercial prosperity;†—is nearly 450 per cent.; while the increase of population is only 70 per cent.
**Extension of tillage since 1780.—After examining these extracts from official documents, our readers will, perhaps, be inclined to admit that the application of our productive power to manufactures, has fully kept pace with its growing supply;—that is to say, labour is as much in demand, as applying to manufactures, in 1832, as it was in 1780;—and that this extension of manufacturing industry merely evidences the rapid progress of revolution in our accustomed system of production: and that by the transfer of labourers from the plough and the harrow to the loom and other manufactures has suffered in proportion to the growth of manufactures. It is necessary to admit that the income arising from agriculture has not grown in full pro-
* See speech of Mr. Spring Rice, April, 1834.
† See Mr. Pitt's speech, budget, 1792.
A page from a book with text discussing population and trade statistics.
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
221
portion with the growth of population; and as we have measured the foregoing comparisons from the year 1780, we shall now see the degree of expansion of agriculture since that period. From 1780 to 1794, there were 450 Inclusion Acts passed, the annual average number being 30; from 1797 to 1803, the average annual number was 83; and the total number, 581; in 1811, the number was 134 (the highest number ever known); in 1812, 26; in 1813, 49; in 1821, 21; in 1829, 24; and in 1831, 10. The total quantity of land brought under cultivation in the fifty-one years ending 1831, is about 2,810,000 acres, yielding an additional annual income of about 18,000,000 sterling. But this, it may be said, is not a sufficient criterion of agricultural culture, the productiveness of land being regulated rather by the labour employed, than the extent of land brought under cultivation. We shall, therefore, notice the comparative production of agricultural provision in the periods referred to. After the Act of 1776, we became rather importers than exporters of corn; and during the agricultural period ending 1785, import decidedly predominated. During the eighteen years ending 1791, the excess of our import of wheat over export, was 1,267,922 quarters;* being, upon the annual average, about 70,000 quarters—a small deficiency, but enough to prove that the annual productions of Great Britain were rather inferior than superior to the demand. During the four years ending 1832, the total quantity of foreign wheat entered for home consumption, was 4,795,700 quarters; the annual average being 1,008,800 quarters. Thus consumption has outgrown production by about 940,000 quarters of bread corn per
*The deficiency in the quantity of wheat, may be taken as a fair criterion of the general deficiency of agricultural productions.
222
POPULATION, AND
annum ; a quantity about equivalent to the support of one million of people (one twenty-fifth part of the population of the United Kingdom). But what does this mean? The whole rural numbers have increased about 10,200,000 since 1780, or 90 per cent., the production of food has lost in its relative increase about 4 per cent.; while the expansion of trading and manufacturing income has been 400 per cent. When we consider that the greater part of the inhabitants of the country to the towns during this period ; or rather the vast increase in the proportion of consumers to producers of agricultural produce, the minuteness in the inferior ratio of the corresponding increase is the most curious result, which can only be accounted for by the improved methods of cultivation, and the partial or substitution of mechanical power for manual labour.
Increase of town population.--But the means of support is no less real, because the advancing ratio of population has been superior to that of agricultural produce. The inventions of Arkwright, Hargraves, Watt, and others, have given another direction to our productive power, and created another branch of opulence, infinitely more than adequate to our very limited dependence on other countries for supplies of grain. The application of ingenious contrivances in Great Britain has given full force to the efficacy and labour of man, and produced an immense increase of income by the superaddition of value to raw materials of comparatively small cost. How this revolution in our commercial, or rather productive, system tends to concentrate population in towns, will be seen by a following table showing the increase of our own.*
* It will be remarked, that one-eleventh part of the total population of Great Britain inhabits eight towns, the least populous of which contains more than 100,000 inhabitants.
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
223
Increase in the eight principal towns of Great Britain during the ten years ending 1831.
|
Population in 1821. |
Population in 1831. |
Increase percent. |
| London, Westminster, Southwark, and suburbs* |
1,225,694 |
1,471,941 |
20 |
| Manchester, Salford, and suburbs |
154,807 |
227,808 |
42 |
| Glasgow (city) and suburbs with Toxenth Park |
147,043 |
202,426 |
38 |
| Liverpool (borough) with Toxenth Park |
131,808 |
189,249 |
44 |
| Edinburgh (city) |
138,235 |
169,403 |
25 |
| Birmingham and suburbs |
136,796 |
175,555 |
33 |
| Leeds |
83,796 |
133,393 |
49 |
| Bristol |
87,779 |
103,886 |
19 |
In these eight towns, containing 2,623,305 inhabitants, the late decennial increase is 547,442 ; being an advancing ratio of 25½ per cent.; while the average increase in Great Britain is 174 per cent., indicating that the existence of a manufacturing population is the existence of a superior inducement for the direction of capital and labour to manufactures than to agriculture, and a comparative superiority in the condition of the town workman over that of the country labourer.
Advantages of concentrated population.—But let us take a more extended view of the national advantages of population tending to concentrate in towns.
It is indicative of the rapid growth of mechanical talent, and the increase of skilled labour, which produces at a given time a greater value than common field labour; an advantage which, naturally allied with a commercial spirit, ensures to us a kind of natural monopoly in trade and manufactures. It is from the combination of mechanical talent in
* The population of London and its suburbs, within a circle struck with a radius of eight miles from St. Paul's Cathedral, was in 1821, 1,461,500; and in 1831, 1,776,500 souls (official report).
224
POPULATION, AND
large towns, that the several co-operative branches of any particular manufacture are prosecuted with a degree of economy and dexterity unattainable in thinly peopled districts; and that the various operations in the manufacture of the same article are more readily divided among different classes of workmen, whose attention being constantly directed to one single object, they acquire a surprising degree of dexterity, which improves the work and facilitates the operation.* Such advantages cannot fail to attract and concentrate capital—not only in the establishment of manufactories, but in the enlargement of the means for rendering the superior advantages of such establishments available for the formation of canals, roads, and rail-ways to connect the manufacturing towns with the sea-ports; thus combining the local advantages possessed in different districts, and immensely improving the power of competition.†
It is, in a great measure, from this cause that we maintain a decided superiority in foreign trade and manufactures over our continental rivals. Our Gallic neighbour, who perhaps possesses all
* The report of the Committee on labourers' wages, 1829-30, notices the minute subdivision of labour in the manufacture of steel and metal ware in the town of Sheffield. It says, "Here (in Sheffield) are manufactured all kinds of iron and steel, wrought into articles of table knives, scissors, razors, files, saws, edge-tools, bituminous-metal goods, silver and plated ware, nails, and several other diversified branches of manufacture." These trades are again minutely subdivided. For instance, the manufacture of knives is branched in forgers, grinders, cutters, and hardeners; and in turn these branches of each tool are classed into first, second, and third-rate workmen. This is a most strikingly example of the minute subdivision of labour: the trade of a shoemaker or potter would furnish interesting illustrations.
† The length of turnpike roads in England and Wales in 1825, was 34,146 miles; in 1830, 1,914,516; debt, 5,200,000.; at present their extent is above 30,000 miles. The total length of canals in Great Britain at the same date,
A page from a book showing text about population and manufacturing.
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
225
the elements for the attainment of great perfection in manufactures, can never rival us until her exclusive those under five miles, was 2889 miles; at present the length of the canal system is 30,674 miles. The official summary of the subscribed capital of eighty corporate canal companies, and their amount of dividends in 1825 is
| companies |
have expended £3,734,910 |
producing no dividend yet. |
| 14 |
— |
— |
| 22 |
4,073,678 |
£92,581 dividend. |
| 23 |
2,190,000 |
112,400 — |
| 11 |
5,874,000 |
— |
| 10 (dividend 20 per cent) |
1,127,230 |
311,554 — |
| £13,305,118 £732,559 |
The average dividend on property invested in canals, is about $\frac{4}{\pi}$ per cent. The canals in Scotland are many and important, especially the magnificent canal of the Forth and Clyde, and the Caledonian Canal. The first canal in England was opened in 1694. have been expended since 1803. The rail-roads are at present sixty in number, independent of that between Manchester and Liverpool. Of these only two are completed. The other four rai-roads are in progress, which are destined to connect the metropolis with the great manufacturing districts in the north and south, east and west. These railways will be found to be far more com- pared with their prodigious utility. The names of "Metres" and "Novelty" will descend to posterity along with those of Stevenson, Etonson, and others. In the year 1825 we had nearly all of these locomotive engines, we need only say that the engine called the Sampson, in May 1825, drew fifty wagons laden with goods, making a journey from London to Liverpool in three hours and forty minutes. Their speed is unlimited. The engine which conveyed Mr. Huskisson to Manchester on his death-bed was so light that he dominated his valuable life, moved at the rate of twenty-seven miles within the hour. The Novelty moved at the rate of thirty-two miles; and at once made a record by passing over a distance of forty miles on horseback; being quicker than a migratory pigeon can fly.
Improvements in the engines are rapidly progressing; the con- sumption of coal has been reduced from one hundred and eight pounds of coke per ton, per mile. The superiority of a rail-road over a canal is safety, certainty, economy, and velocity. "(See Observations on Steam-machines.)" - Written by Gurney, Partington, Cum- ming, Lardner, and other authors.
"How wonderful is man!
A beast ethereal, sullied and absorb'd;
Though sullied and dishonoured, still divine."
Q
226
POPULATION, AND
government can infuse a spirit of commercial enterprise throughout the community, which can alone make them available. The national spirit in France is opposed to manufactures; the rich prefer the army and the liberal professions, and are generally content with a competency, rather than run the risk of becoming industrious. In England, however, both classes have their native prejudices, and there is a general want of enterprise and inclination to embark capital in great commercial undertakings and national improvements. The French labourers do not like the sedentary life of a weaver, or the im- mured life of a miner; but the arable fields and luxuriant groves are so tempting and so much more congenial. Hence their population is comparatively scattered—their roads bad—their canals few—their immense strata of coal and iron lie buried in primeval beds—and their power of competition is viewed by the British manufacturer with easy indifference.
**Question as to the effect of machinery discussed.**—Notwithstanding the admitted expansion of national income, and, in a general sense, the national advantage arising from the progressive economy of manual labour, it is not pretended that mechanical power; yet, its beneficial influence on the condition of the working classes, is not only very generally doubted, but in various publications has been absolutely denied. It is viewed as depriving the greater portion of them of their only capital, labour; and as rendering them incapable of purchasing those commodities necessary for subsistence, however low the price at which they may be obtainable. Now, with the vastly increased and increasing power of machinery, which we have before noticed, did no means exist of interchanging the surplus of our productions over our consumption, for the products of foreign climes, the tendency
POWER OF MAINTENANCE. 227
to overstock, and thus to outrun the means of pur-
chase is admissible: but, in that case—if every
market in the known world was effectually closed
against us—it could only effect a revolution in
our commercial plan ; for as it is evident, that a
surplus quantity of manufactures can only be paid
for by a surplus quantity of raw produce, the effect
would be to diminish the mechanic power of the
plough, until the value of the two quantities of
production would be precisely equal. However,
such a case is, in the ordinary sense of the word,
"impossible;" and the tendency to overstock is
far, very far, removed by the continually growing
opportunities which arise from the extent of
the ocean afforded. Looking, therefore, to a wider
range for our commerce than a mere isolated trade,
it is evident, that until the demands of ultramarine
people for British productions, and of the British
people for foreign merchandise are fully answered—
a time which will never arrive, till the dawn of the
millennium—there will be no reason why we may pro-
vide additional means of purchasing; for, let it be
remarked, consumption is by no means regulated by the wants of the people, but by their means of buying; and every invention which tends to cheapen commodities, increases the means of attainment, and facilitates consumption. It is true that notwithstanding an increase of from 400 to 500 per cent. in the annual quantity of British manu-
factures produced at the present time, compared with 1780 or 1785, the tendency to overstock is by no means more powerful; and we may fairly postpone its effects for many centuries yet; for when our manufactures will have progressed in a similarly advancing ratio, it will still be equally distant; for, as the quantity produced by a given sum of labour, increases, so the price, *par passu*, diminishes; and hence, the productions being more easily attainable, the consumption of them
q 2
228
POPULATION, ETC.
augments in the same degree.* It is this increase in the consumption of commodities, upon natural principles, that gives the decided negative to the assertion, that the economy of manual labour abridges the demand for it; that machinery robs the labourer of his capital, labour; and by depriving him of the necessary sum of the means of purchasing the necessaries for subsistence, however cheap they may be afforded.
The tables published in 1811 and 1821, with the population returns, embracing an analysis of social life, furnish, apparently, very conclusive evidence on this subject; showing an immense increase in the number of families engaged in trade and manufactures. The returns of this nature, referring to 1831, but only published in the early part of the present year, have been handed to us by Mr. Rickman, so well known for his kind and ready assistance in those inquiries in statistical investigation. These tables disclose important errors in the decennial returns of 1811 and 1821: we shall give them as they appear at the conclusion of the three decennial periods, and explain, in a subsequent paragraph, the necessary corrections.
*This is surely very evident; but some, mentally blind, either cannot, or will not understand it. Is it not clear, that if by the aid of machinery, a commodity is produced in an hour, which without such aid would require two hours, the manufacturer can afford to exchange it for another commodity, which represents an hour's instead of a day's work? If this is admitted, surely the consumer has no right to complain when he finds it required to work an hour instead of a day for it. Price, in the sense of money, has little to do with the question; money is only used to facilitate transactions between individuals; and by which softens all the movements and turnings of circulation.*
A table showing population returns and other data.
| 250 |
| ANALYSIS. |
| Showing the number of Families, in Great Britain, in 1811, 1821, and 1831, employed in trade, manufacture, and agriculture and the number of Families employed by each profession, which is the proportion of the whole population engaged in each profession, both separately and together with those employed in agriculture only. |
| 1811 |
Employed in Trade, |
Employed in Manufacture, |
Employed in Agriculture, |
Total Employed |
Total Families |
Total Families |
Total Families |
| Engaged in trade, |
Engaged in manufacture, |
Engaged in agriculture, |
Engaged in trade, |
Engaged in manufacture, |
Engaged in agriculture, |
Engaged in trade, |
Engaged in manufacture, |
Engaged in agriculture, |
Engaged in trade, |
Engaged in manufacture, |
Engaged in agriculture, |
Engaged in trade, |
Engaged in manufacture, |
Engaged in agriculture, |
|
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
No. of Families. |
| Classes: |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
Census |
230
POPULATION, AND
Between the years 1811 and 1821, trade and manufactures appear by these returns to have somewhat increased; but between 1821 and 1831, they shew a diminution: the centesimal proportion of families employed in trade and manufactures, from 46 to 42; yet no decay was visible in this branch of industry, and considerable surprise was excited when this result appeared. The paradox of increasing trade and diminishing employment was not at first discovered to spring from an incon siderate notion, that in 1811 and 1821 many were included in the number of those employed in trade, who were not at all; but it seems that a large proportion of labourers, such as miners, fishermen, those engaged in inland navigation, road-making, &c., which in the late returns (1831) numbers 608,712, were classed either as traders or agriculturists; but when in 1831 a census was taken of all useful labour, of whatever kind, the returning officer classed these in it, but placed their families in the column assigned to non-productives—swelling the number of the latter class, and diminishing that of the agriculturists and traders. It thus appears that out of the total number (305,787) classified as non-productives, 608,712 are actual labourers, and 78,669 men employed as domestic servants; reducing the total number to 328,787. If to this number we add the professional men and the domestic servants, the total proportion of those designated as "all other than agriculturists and traders" is reduced to 18 per cent. Of these, a large proportion (nearly half) are super-annuated labourers (inmates of workhouses, &c.); and, with some other necessary deductions, the number of those who constitute annuitants, inde- pendent gentry, legislators, lawyers, clergyman of old land, pensioners, &c., of civilised life, is reduced to a very small proportion. If on these consider- ations we reduce the proportion of the non-pro- ductive column to 18 per cent., which it certainly,
A table showing population statistics.
POWER OF MAINTENANCE.
231
in the widest sense, does not exceed, and add the difference (19 per cent.) to the manufacturers and agriculturists, in the proportion of eight to four, the centesimal parts for 1831 will stand thus :-
Manufacturers and Traders. Agriculturists. All others.
Families: 50 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32. . . . . . . . . 18
which forms a more correct medium of comparison with the returns of 1811 and 1821 ; and to common observation, appears to bear a more warrantable, in furnishing a relative view.
The subjoined is an analysis of British society abridged from the official report.
| Analysis. |
Table. |
Agriculturists. |
Manufacturers and Traders. |
All others. |
| Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
Number of Families |
| Families |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
| Families |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
| Families |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
| Families |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
18 |
50 |
32 |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Total. |
| Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: |
|---|
|
| Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: |
|---|
| Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: | Families: |
|---|
|
| |