"""Validate synthetic climate & maternal-neonatal outcomes dataset.""" from __future__ import annotations from pathlib import Path import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import pandas as pd SCENARIO_FILES = { "heat_exposed_pregnancy": "maternal_heat_exposed.csv", "drought_food_insecure_pregnancy": "maternal_drought_food_insecure.csv", "flood_disrupted_services": "maternal_flood_disrupted.csv", } COLORS = {"heat_exposed_pregnancy": "#e6550d", "drought_food_insecure_pregnancy": "#d95f02", "flood_disrupted_services": "#3182bd"} def load_data() -> pd.DataFrame: frames = [] for scenario, filename in SCENARIO_FILES.items(): df = pd.read_csv(Path("data") / filename) frames.append(df) return pd.concat(frames, ignore_index=True) def plot_validation(df: pd.DataFrame, output_path: Path) -> None: fig, axes = plt.subplots(4, 2, figsize=(14, 16)) axes = axes.flatten() outcome_cols = ["preterm", "low_birth_weight", "stillbirth", "preeclampsia"] rates = df.groupby("scenario")[outcome_cols].mean() * 100 rates.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[0]) axes[0].set_title("Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (%)") axes[0].legend(fontsize=7) for s in SCENARIO_FILES: subset = df[df["scenario"] == s] axes[1].hist(subset["birth_weight_g"], bins=30, alpha=0.5, color=COLORS[s], label=s) axes[1].set_title("Birth Weight Distribution") axes[1].set_xlabel("Birth weight (g)") axes[1].legend(fontsize=7) svc_cols = ["anc_4plus", "skilled_birth_attendant", "facility_delivery", "facility_accessible"] svc = df.groupby("scenario")[svc_cols].mean() * 100 svc.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[2]) axes[2].set_title("Service Access (%)") axes[2].legend(fontsize=7) for s in SCENARIO_FILES: subset = df[df["scenario"] == s] axes[3].scatter(subset["heat_index"], subset["preterm"], s=6, alpha=0.1, color=COLORS[s], label=s) axes[3].set_title("Heat Index vs Preterm Birth") axes[3].set_xlabel("Heat index") axes[3].legend(fontsize=7) risk_cols = ["anaemia", "malaria_in_pregnancy", "food_insecure", "dehydration"] risk = df.groupby("scenario")[risk_cols].mean() * 100 risk.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[4]) axes[4].set_title("Risk Factors (%)") axes[4].legend(fontsize=7) mort_cols = ["neonatal_death", "maternal_death"] mort = df.groupby("scenario")[mort_cols].mean() * 1000 mort.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[5]) axes[5].set_title("Mortality (per 1000)") axes[5].legend(fontsize=7) for s in SCENARIO_FILES: subset = df[df["scenario"] == s] axes[6].hist(subset["gestational_age_weeks"], bins=25, alpha=0.5, color=COLORS[s], label=s) axes[6].set_title("Gestational Age Distribution") axes[6].set_xlabel("Weeks") axes[6].legend(fontsize=7) neo_cols = ["neonatal_sepsis", "birth_asphyxia", "pph"] neo = df.groupby("scenario")[neo_cols].mean() * 100 neo.plot(kind="bar", ax=axes[7]) axes[7].set_title("Neonatal/Maternal Complications (%)") axes[7].legend(fontsize=7) plt.tight_layout() fig.savefig(output_path, dpi=200) plt.close(fig) def main() -> None: df = load_data() plot_validation(df, Path("validation_report.png")) print("Saved validation_report.png") if __name__ == "__main__": main()