ANAHEIM — Arnold Klann has a green dream.
It began 16 years ago in a sprawling laboratory in Anaheim. This year, he hopes, it will culminate at a Lancaster garbage dump.
There, in the high desert of the Antelope Valley, Klann”s company, BlueFire Ethanol Fuels, plans to build a $100 million plant to convert raw trash into an alcohol-based fuel that will help power the cars and trucks of the future.
It”s the sort of improbable concoction that California is now demanding. Today, the state is expected to adopt the world”s first regulation to reduce the carbon footprint of fuel. Just as California created the first market for catalytic converters decades ago, this rule, a likely model for national and even global calculations, could jump-start a huge demand for new technologies.
Fuel is a critical front in the battle against global warming. Nearly a quarter of the man-made greenhouse gases that the United States spews into the atmosphere come from transportation. While cars have reduced unhealthy pollutants such as nitrogen oxides by 99 percent in recent decades, the gasoline they burn emits as much carbon dioxide as it did a century ago.
California”s proposal “is the first time anyone has attempted, for environmental purposes, to change the content of what goes into cars and trucks,” says Mary D. Nichols, chairwoman of the state Air Resources Board. “It would revolutionize transportation fuel.”
President Barack Obama has called for a low-carbon standard for the nation”s $400 billion transportation fuel market. A version similar to California”s is incorporated in climate legislation pending before Congress.
Under California”s proposal, producers, refineries and importers would be forced to reduce the “carbon intensity” of their fuel by 10 percent by 2020, and by increasing percentages after that. California”s gasoline contains 10 percent corn-based ethanol, most of it from coal-powered Midwestern plants. Its carbon footprint is as high as gasoline”s.
But by measuring the “cradle-to-grave” effect of various fuels, the new rule would favor ethanol such as Klann”s, made from non-food sources. Even “low-carbon” corn ethanol — such as the kind produced in California using gas-fired electricity and efficient machinery — has a far higher carbon footprint than so-called cellulosic fuel from landfill waste, trees, switch-grass or sugar cane.
“This is fantastic for us,” said Klann, who uses recycled sulfuric acid to transform paper, construction debris and grass clippings into ethanol. “The paradigm is changing from oil to sustainable fuels. The ones with the lowest carbon footprint will be the winners.”
By 2020, the air board estimates, new-technology fuels along with electricity to power hybrid and electric cars would replace a quarter of the gasoline supply. That is a critical element of California”s sweeping plan to reduce its global warming emissions.
Across the nation, a rush is on to produce green fuels. Since 2007, the federal Department of Energy has invested more than $1 billion in advanced fuels research and development. Last year, venture capitalists pumped $680 million into biofuels, including $100 million into San Diego-based Sapphire Energy, which would use algae, sunlight, carbon dioxide and non-potable water to make high-octane gasoline.
As yet, no commercial-sized plants exist in the U.S. to make such futuristic substitutes. It was easier to use corn, which was plentiful, cheap, and easy to ferment into ethanol. But the new standard is bad news for the powerful farm lobby and its corn-ethanol industry. In recent months, many plants around the country, including all five of California”s, shut down as the price of ethanol fell along with gasoline.
Battered corn ethanol investors have mounted an intense lobbying effort against California”s proposal. Several, including Pacific Ethanol, California”s biggest, had planned to diversify from corn into cellulosic ethanol. They argue that by diminishing the value of their existing plants, the new rule would cripple their advanced biofuel efforts.
“We will throw the non-food-based advanced fuels out with the corn-ethanol bathwater if we are not careful,” said Vinod Khosla, a founder of Sun Microsystems, who invested in a now-closed corn ethanol plant in Goshen, as well as in Gevo, a Denver-based start-up that plans to use switch-grass and agricultural residues to make gasoline, diesel and jet fuel.
At issue is the Air Resources Board”s complex modeling, which would calculate each fuel”s carbon footprint not only by its “direct” emissions from drilling or planting to refining to burning, but also “indirect” emissions caused by clearing forests or fields to compensate for food crops such as corn or soy that are diverted to fuel. Opponents say the science behind the indirect modeling is inaccurate.
Nichols calls the complaints “just noise,” adding, “Its very clear: The best fuels will win out.”Likewise, the food-based biofuels industry is battling a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency proposal to count indirect land-use effects in defining fuels under a 2007 federal mandate to produce 36 billion gallons of ethanol by 2022.
But among entrepreneurs like Klann, the mood has never been more hopeful. In an Anaheim lab, the 57-year-old electrical engineer guides a visitor through a maze of pipes, filters, heat exchangers, fermentation tanks and vats of acid like a small boy showing off a chemistry set. “We”re in the forefront of this industry,” he said of his patented “concentrated acid hydrolysis” process. “We expect to have the first plant to produce cellulosic ethanol on a commercial scale.”
Financing for Lancaster first plant, which recently obtained its final permits, has been delayed by the credit crunch. But if it comes through, the facility will process 170 tons of garbage a day to produce 3.7 million gallons of ethanol a year. Estimated cost per gallon: about $2, Klann says.
He already has plans for 20 more facilities across the country. Next on the block: a plant outside Palm Springs, Calif., partly funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, that would produce 19 million gallons annually.
Meanwhile, oil companies are beginning to acknowledge that, thanks in part to government intervention, biofuels are likely to cut into — or at least complement — their core petroleum-based business. Shell Oil bought a 50 percent interest in Iogen, a Canadian company, and invested in Codexis, a Redwood City, Calif., company, to make cellulose ethanol from wheat straw.
“California”s low-carbon fuel standard is going to set the standard for the U.S. and, I expect, the standard globally,” said Graeme S.S. Sweeney, a Shell executive vice president. “There will be a series of commercial-sized plants in the next five years. There will be different technologies. It will be good to see competition.”